When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
12.0% (24h)3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeMarket quality 28 • Low qualityThin market
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Decision support
Current implied probability
Before Sep 1, 2026 28%
Market quality
28 / 100
Low qualityBid / Ask
26.0% / 31.0%
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Last updated: May 30, 3:51 AM
Resolves
Sep 8, 2026, 2:00 PM
24h Volume
$131.9
Liquidity
$1.2K
Spread
19.2%
Wide spread7d Change
-
Low liquidityThin marketNear resolution
Started Apr 1, 2026, 2:00 PMEnds Sep 8, 2026, 2:00 PM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Rules
If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jun 1, 2026.
- If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jul 1, 2026.
- If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Topics
RegulationTechAI
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