When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
12.0% (24h)3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeMarket quality 28 • Low qualityThin market
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Decision support
Current implied probability
Before Sep 1, 2026 5%
Market quality
28 / 100
Low qualityBid / Ask
4.0% / 5.0%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Last updated: May 30, 1:41 AM
Resolves
Sep 8, 2026, 2:00 PM
24h Volume
$132.2
Liquidity
$3.4K
Spread
25.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-
Low liquidityThin marketNear resolution
Started Jul 30, 2025, 2:00 PMEnds Sep 8, 2026, 2:00 PM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Rules
If OpenAI confirms an IPO before Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Apr 1, 2026.
- If OpenAI confirms an IPO before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after May 1, 2026.
- If OpenAI confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Topics
RegulationTechAI
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