Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
0.7% (24h)30d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeMarket quality 28 • Low qualityThin market
Alerts
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Decision support
Current implied probability
Yes 4%
Market quality
28 / 100
Low qualityBid / Ask
3.7% / 4.5%
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Last updated: May 30, 8:01 AM
Resolves
Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM
24h Volume
$4.6K
Liquidity
$11.2K
Spread
21.6%
Wide spread7d Change
+2.0%
Low liquidityThin marketNear resolution
Started Jan 29, 2026, 10:31 PMEnds Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Also available on Limitless
PolymarketLast updated: 8 minutes ago
No
0pt96%
Yes
0pt4%
Vol
$94K
24h Vol
$4.6K
Liq
$11.2K
Spread: Wide spreadLiquidity: Low liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
LimitlessLast updated: 8 minutes ago
No
▲ +0pt96%
Yes
0pt4%
Vol
$378.8
24h Vol
$0
Liq
$0
Spread: Spread unknownLiquidity: Low liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYCSettles in USDC
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
- Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company.
- A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights).
- Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
Topics
Tech
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