Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
4.0% (24h)7mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeMarket quality 44 • Low qualityThin market
Alerts
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Decision support
Current implied probability
Yes 60%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low qualityBid / Ask
58.0% / 61.0%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Last updated: May 30, 12:21 PM
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
24h Volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$12.3K
Spread
5.2%
Moderate spread7d Change
-2.5%
Low liquidityThin marketHigh ambiguity
Started Apr 28, 2026, 7:42 PMEnds Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the public valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For Bitcoin, CoinGecko's data for BTC will be used, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin.
- If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
- For Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered.
- To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Mock trade
PaperPractice with virtual USDT. Paper trading only.
Minimum 10 USDT.
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