Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
0.3% (24h)7mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeMarket quality 83 • High qualityNear resolution
Alerts
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Decision support
Current implied probability
Yes 7%
Market quality
83 / 100
High qualityBid / Ask
6.8% / 6.9%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Last updated: May 30, 11:31 AM
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
24h Volume
$32.3K
Liquidity
$171.1K
Spread
1.5%
Tight spread7d Change
+0.1%
High liquidityNear resolution
Started Dec 23, 2025, 1:07 AMEnds Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Also available on Limitless
PolymarketLast updated: 1 minute ago
No
0pt93%
Yes
0pt7%
Vol
$33.4M
24h Vol
$32.3K
Liq
$171.1K
Spread: Tight spreadLiquidity: High liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
LimitlessLast updated: 8 minutes ago
No
▲ +0pt93%
Yes
▼ 0pt7%
Vol
$23.4K
24h Vol
$0
Liq
$0
Spread: Spread unknownLiquidity: Low liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYCSettles in USDC
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
- An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur.
- Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Mock trade
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Topics
Tech
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