Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
7mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeMarket quality 28 • Low qualityThin market
Alerts
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Decision support
Current implied probability
Yes 8%
Market quality
28 / 100
Low qualityBid / Ask
8.0% / 9.0%
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Last updated: May 30, 6:11 AM
Resolves
Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
24h Volume
$13
Liquidity
$5.1K
Spread
12.5%
Wide spread7d Change
-
Low liquidityThin marketNear resolution
Started Jan 10, 2026, 3:00 PMEnds Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Also available on Polymarket
KalshiLast updated: 4 minutes ago
No
0pt92%
Yes
0pt8%
Vol
$14.6K
24h Vol
$13
Liq
$5.1K
Spread: Wide spreadLiquidity: Low liquidity
Check availabilityKYC required2% feeSettles in USD
PolymarketLast updated: 4 minutes ago
No
▲ +1pt93%
Yes
▼ 1pt7%
Vol
$11.3M
24h Vol
$5.2K
Liq
$154.1K
Spread: Tight spreadLiquidity: High liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
If Reza Pahlavi is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as the head of state or government of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.