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Decision support

Current implied probability

Yes 0.9%

Market quality

32 / 100

Low quality

Bid / Ask

-

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Last updated: May 30, 3:22 PM

Resolves

Jul 1, 2026, 3:59 AM

24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$0

Spread

-

Spread unknown

7d Change

-

Low liquidityThin marketNear resolution

Started Jan 21, 2026, 12:33 PMEnds Jul 1, 2026, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Yes

-0.9%

No

-99.1%

Also available on Polymarket

Limitless

Last updated: 9 minutes ago

No

0pt99%

Yes

0pt1%

Vol

$4.9K

24h Vol

$0

Liq

$0

Spread: Spread unknownLiquidity: Low liquidity

Check availabilityNo KYCSettles in USDC

Polymarket

Last updated: 1 minute ago

No

▲ +1pt100%

Yes

▼ 1pt0%

Vol

$3.4M

24h Vol

$8.3K

Liq

$45.2K

Spread: Wide spreadLiquidity: Medium liquidity

Check availabilityNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC

View on Polymarket Open on Polymarket

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Rules

On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

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Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

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