Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
0.1% (24h)30d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeMarket quality 44 • Low qualityNear resolution
Alerts
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Decision support
Current implied probability
Yes 0%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low qualityBid / Ask
0.3% / 0.6%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Last updated: May 30, 9:01 AM
Resolves
Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM
24h Volume
$31.9K
Liquidity
$43.4K
Spread
100.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-0.3%
Medium liquidityNear resolution
Started Jan 17, 2026, 3:19 AMEnds Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Also available on Limitless
PolymarketLast updated: 1 minute ago
No
0pt100%
Yes
0pt0%
Vol
$3.4M
24h Vol
$31.9K
Liq
$43.4K
Spread: Wide spreadLiquidity: Medium liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
LimitlessLast updated: 10 minutes ago
No
▼ 1pt99%
Yes
▲ +1pt1%
Vol
$4.9K
24h Vol
$0
Liq
$0
Spread: Spread unknownLiquidity: Low liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYCSettles in USDC
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
- An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Topics
Tech
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