Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
0.1% (24h)2y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeMarket quality 86 • High quality22pt disagreement
Alerts
Follow this market to create alerts.
Decision support
Current implied probability
Gavin Newsom 24%
Market quality
86 / 100
High qualityBid / Ask
1.9% / 2.0%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Last updated: May 29, 9:51 PM
Resolves
Nov 7, 2028, 12:00 AM
24h Volume
$1M
Liquidity
$59.2M
Spread
5.3%
Moderate spread7d Change
-0.2%
High liquidity
Started Jul 11, 2025, 6:41 PMEnds Nov 7, 2028, 12:00 AM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Also available on Kalshi
PolymarketLast updated: 6 minutes ago
Gavin Newsom
0pt24%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
0pt9%
Kamala Harris
0pt8%
Jon Ossoff
0pt5%
Vol
$1.2B
24h Vol
$1M
Liq
$59.2M
Spread: Moderate spreadLiquidity: High liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
KalshiLast updated: 5 minutes ago
Gavin Newsom
▼ 1pt23%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
▲ +2pt11%
Kamala Harris
▲ +1pt9%
Jon Ossoff
▲ +2pt7%
Vol
$1.2M
24h Vol
$4.1K
Liq
$805.1K
Spread: Wide spreadLiquidity: High liquidity
Check availabilityKYC required2% feeSettles in USD
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Also available on Smarkets
PolymarketLast updated: 6 minutes ago
Gavin Newsom
0pt24%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
0pt9%
Kamala Harris
0pt8%
Jon Ossoff
0pt5%
Vol
$1.2B
24h Vol
$1M
Liq
$59.2M
Spread: Moderate spreadLiquidity: High liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
SmarketsLast updated: 5 minutes ago
Gavin Newsom
▲ +2pt26%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
▲ +2pt11%
Kamala Harris
▼ 2pt6%
Jon Ossoff
▲ +1pt6%
Vol
$0
24h Vol
$0
Liq
$0
Spread: Spread unknownLiquidity: Low liquidity
Check availabilityKYC required
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
- Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Topics
Politics
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