Fed Decision in July?
1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeMarket quality 56 • Medium qualityNear resolution
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Decision support
Current implied probability
No change 92%
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium qualityBid / Ask
0.2% / 0.3%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Last updated: May 30, 9:41 PM
Resolves
Jul 29, 2026, 12:00 AM
24h Volume
$26.7K
Liquidity
$812.1K
Spread
50.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-
High liquidityNear resolution
Started Mar 20, 2026, 12:13 AMEnds Jul 29, 2026, 12:00 AM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Rules
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Topics
Fed
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