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Monmouth House, High Street, Watford, England, WD17 1LN

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Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

2.4% (24h)30d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Market quality 56 • Medium quality

Alerts

Follow this market to create alerts.

Decision support

Current implied probability

Anthropic 80%

Market quality

56 / 100

Medium quality
Bid / Ask

0.1% / 0.8%

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Last updated: May 30, 8:01 PM

Resolves

Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

24h Volume

$9.1K

Liquidity

$108.8K

Spread

700.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

+0.3%

High liquidity
Started Oct 10, 2025, 9:54 PMEnds Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Anthropic
Anthropic
-2.0%80%
Google
Google
-0.5%8%
OpenAI
OpenAI
-0.3%3%
DeepSeek
DeepSeek
-0.5%2%
xAI
xAI
-0.1%1%
Baidu
Baidu
+0.1%1%
ByteDance
ByteDance
+0.2%1%
Alibaba
Alibaba
-0%
Moonshot
Moonshot
-0.1%0%
Meituan
Meituan
-0%
Meta
Meta
-1.9%0%
Company F
Company F
0.0%0%
Company H
Company H
0.0%0%
Z.ai
Z.ai
-0%
Mistral
Mistral
+0.1%0%
Microsoft
Microsoft
-0.1%0%
Amazon
Amazon
-2.4%0%
Company G
Company G
0.0%0%
Other
Other
0.0%0%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

  • Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
  • If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
  • If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
  • This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
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Topics

AITech

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