Brazil Presidential election winner?
2.0% (24h)1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeMarket quality 44 • Low qualityThin market9pt disagreement
Alerts
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Decision support
Current implied probability
Flávio Bolsonaro 33%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low qualityBid / Ask
31.0% / 33.0%
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Last updated: May 30, 4:32 AM
Resolves
Oct 25, 2027, 2:00 PM
24h Volume
$14.8
Liquidity
$10.5K
Spread
6.5%
Moderate spread7d Change
-
Low liquidityThin marketHigh ambiguity
Started Dec 5, 2025, 7:30 PMEnds Oct 25, 2027, 2:00 PM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Also available on Polymarket
KalshiLast updated: 4 minutes ago
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
0pt42%
Flávio Bolsonaro
0pt33%
Renan Santos
0pt13%
Romeu Zema
0pt5%
Vol
$19.6K
24h Vol
$14.8
Liq
$10.5K
Spread: Moderate spreadLiquidity: Low liquidity
Check availabilityKYC required2% feeSettles in USD
PolymarketLast updated: 4 minutes ago
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
▼ 1pt41%
Flávio Bolsonaro
▼ 4pt29%
Renan Santos
▲ +3pt16%
Romeu Zema
▼ 2pt3%
Vol
$90.5M
24h Vol
$402.6K
Liq
$8.3M
Spread: Tight spreadLiquidity: High liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jair Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Fernando Haddad has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tarcisio de Frietas has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Michelle Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Flávio Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Topics
Politics
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