2028 Republican presidential nominee
2y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeMarket quality 56 • Medium qualityThin market44pt disagreement
Alerts
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Decision support
Current implied probability
Erika Kirk 0%
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium qualityBid / Ask
0.3% / 0.4%
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Last updated: May 30, 8:11 PM
Resolves
Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM
24h Volume
$755.4
Liquidity
$323.2K
Spread
33.3%
Wide spread7d Change
-
High liquidityThin marketHigh ambiguity
Started Sep 29, 2025, 2:00 PMEnds Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Also available on Polymarket
KalshiLast updated: 3 minutes ago
J.D. Vance
0pt32%
Marco Rubio
0pt29%
Tucker Carlson
0pt6%
Ron DeSantis
0pt5%
Vol
$449.7K
24h Vol
$755.4
Liq
$323.2K
Spread: Wide spreadLiquidity: High liquidity
Check availabilityKYC required2% feeSettles in USD
PolymarketLast updated: 4 minutes ago
J.D. Vance
▼ 1pt31%
Marco Rubio
▼ 3pt26%
Tucker Carlson
0pt6%
Ron DeSantis
▼ 1pt4%
Vol
$645.7M
24h Vol
$333.1K
Liq
$42.7M
Spread: Wide spreadLiquidity: High liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
If Thomas Massie wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Nikki Haley wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sarah Huckabee Sanders wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Greg Abbott wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vance wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ron DeSantis wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mock trade
PaperMock trading is available for binary (Yes/No) markets only.
Topics
Politics
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