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Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?

Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?

3.0% (24h)1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Market quality 55 • Medium qualityThin market

Alerts

Follow this market to create alerts.

Decision support

Current implied probability

Paramount 81%

Market quality

55 / 100

Medium quality
Bid / Ask

81.0% / 82.0%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Last updated: May 30, 9:01 AM

Resolves

Jul 7, 2027, 2:00 PM

24h Volume

$69.4

Liquidity

$10.1K

Spread

1.2%

Tight spread
7d Change

-

Low liquidityThin market
Started Dec 11, 2025, 9:45 PMEnds Jul 7, 2027, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Paramount
Paramount
-3.0%81%
Netflix
Netflix
0.0%5%
None before July 2027
None before July 2027
0.0%13%

Rules

If qualifying public announcements indicate Netflix's takeover of Warner Brothers has succeeded Before July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

  • A takeover "succeeds" when BOTH of the following are publicly announced: (a) Corporate Approval—shareholders approved the acquisition OR the acquirer acquired controlling interest (>50% of voting shares); AND (b) Conditions Satisfaction—all material conditions including regulatory approvals have been satisfied or waived.
  • Press releases, SEC filings (8-K, Schedule TO amendments), and official company announcements qualify.
  • Letters of intent, agreements in principle, or conditional announcements do not satisfy the criteria.
  • If one acquirer's takeover succeeds, all other acquirer markets immediately resolve to No.
  • Resolution is based on the announcements, not the ultimate transaction outcome—if both criteria are announced but the deal later fails, the market still resolves to Yes.
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