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When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?

When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?

9d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Market quality 49 • Low qualityThin market

Alerts

Follow this market to create alerts.

Decision support

Current implied probability

Before Jun 1, 2026 1%

Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
Bid / Ask

- / 1.0%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Last updated: May 30, 1:41 AM

Resolves

Jun 8, 2026, 2:00 PM

24h Volume

$435.3

Liquidity

$37.9K

Spread

-

Spread unknown
7d Change

-

Medium liquidityThin marketNear resolution
Started Jul 30, 2025, 2:00 PMEnds Jun 8, 2026, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
0.0%1%
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
-1.0%95%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
-1.0%98%
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
-1.0%96%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
0.0%98%
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Dec 1, 2026
-1.0%97%
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
+1.0%97%
Before May 1, 2027
Before May 1, 2027
0.0%99%
Before Apr 1, 2026
Before Apr 1, 2026
0.0%1%
Before May 1, 2026
Before May 1, 2026
0.0%1%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
0.0%98%
Before Feb 1, 2027
Before Feb 1, 2027
0.0%97%
Before Mar 1, 2027
Before Mar 1, 2027
0.0%98%
Before Apr 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027
0.0%97%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Before Jun 1, 2027
0.0%99%

Rules

If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

  • An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it.
  • As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Apr 1, 2026.
  • If SpaceX confirms an IPO before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after May 1, 2026.
  • If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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