Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
0.1% (24h)2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeMarket quality 60 • Medium qualityThin market83pt disagreement
Alerts
Follow this market to create alerts.
Decision support
Current implied probability
Before August 1, 2026 3%
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium qualityBid / Ask
3.1% / 3.2%
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Last updated: May 29, 9:51 PM
Resolves
Aug 1, 2026, 2:00 PM
24h Volume
$322.4
Liquidity
$55.4K
Spread
3.2%
Moderate spread7d Change
-
Medium liquidityThin marketHigh ambiguity
Started Feb 12, 2026, 1:00 AMEnds Aug 1, 2026, 2:00 PM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Also available on Limitless
KalshiLast updated: 4 minutes ago
No
0pt-
Before January 20, 2029
0pt33%
Before 2028
0pt22%
Yes
0pt-
Vol
$97.3K
24h Vol
$322.4
Liq
$55.4K
Spread: Moderate spreadLiquidity: Medium liquidity
Check availabilityKYC required2% feeSettles in USD
LimitlessLast updated: 3 minutes ago
No
▲ +89pt89%
Before January 20, 2029
▼ 33pt-
Before 2028
▼ 22pt-
Yes
▲ +11pt11%
Vol
$1.9K
24h Vol
$0
Liq
$0
Spread: Spread unknownLiquidity: Low liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYCSettles in USDC
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Also available on Polymarket
KalshiLast updated: 4 minutes ago
No
0pt-
Before January 20, 2029
0pt33%
Before 2028
0pt22%
Yes
0pt-
Vol
$97.3K
24h Vol
$322.4
Liq
$55.4K
Spread: Moderate spreadLiquidity: Medium liquidity
Check availabilityKYC required2% feeSettles in USD
PolymarketLast updated: 4 minutes ago
No
▲ +89pt89%
Before January 20, 2029
▼ 33pt-
Before 2028
▼ 22pt-
Yes
▲ +12pt12%
Vol
$8.7M
24h Vol
$8.4K
Liq
$237K
Spread: Wide spreadLiquidity: High liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
If Donald Trump leaves office before April 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald Trump leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
- If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- If Donald Trump leaves office before August 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald Trump leaves office before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald Trump leaves office before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Topics
Politics
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