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CoinRithm

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Bees-x Limited
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13308136
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England and Wales
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Monmouth House, High Street, Watford, England, WD17 1LN

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US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

0.1% (24h)7mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Market quality 70 • Medium quality

Alerts

Follow this market to create alerts.

Decision support

Current implied probability

December 31 22%

Market quality

70 / 100

Medium quality
Bid / Ask

0.2% / 0.4%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Last updated: May 30, 11:01 AM

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

24h Volume

$355.1K

Liquidity

$452.2K

Spread

100.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-3.7%

High liquidity
Started Mar 31, 2026, 9:53 PMEnds Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
December 31
December 31
-22%
June 30
June 30
-5%
May 31
May 31
+0.1%0%
April 30
April 30
-0.2%0%
July 31
July 31
0.0%0%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere.
  • Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
  • Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
  • A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
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Topics

GeopoliticsTech

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