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CoinRithm

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Bees-x Limited
Company Number
13308136
Incorporated In
England and Wales
Registered Office
Monmouth House, High Street, Watford, England, WD17 1LN

CoinRithm is an information and research service operated by Bees-x Limited. It is not authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) to carry on regulated activities, and nothing on this site is financial advice.

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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Market quality 91 • High qualityNear resolution

Alerts

Follow this market to create alerts.

Decision support

Current implied probability

Yes 7%

Market quality

91 / 100

High quality
Bid / Ask

6.5% / 6.6%

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Last updated: May 30, 7:01 AM

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

24h Volume

$82.7K

Liquidity

$990K

Spread

1.5%

Tight spread
7d Change

-0.5%

High liquidityNear resolution
Started Jul 24, 2025, 11:47 PMEnds Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Yes
Yes
-7%
No
No
-93%
Limitless

Also available on Limitless

PolymarketPolymarket
Last updated: 9 minutes ago
No
0pt93%
Yes
0pt7%
Vol

$31.3M

24h Vol

$82.7K

Liq

$990K

Spread: Tight spreadLiquidity: High liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
LimitlessLimitless
Last updated: 8 minutes ago
No
▼ 1pt92%
Yes
▲ +1pt8%
Vol

$7.6K

24h Vol

$0

Liq

$0

Spread: Spread unknownLiquidity: Low liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYCSettles in USDC
View on LimitlessOpen on Limitless
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
  • The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
PolymarketOpen on Polymarket

Topics

Geopolitics

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