Which party will win the U.S. House?
8mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeMarket quality 60 • Medium qualityThin market
Alerts
Follow this market to create alerts.
Decision support
Current implied probability
Republican Party 24%
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium qualityBid / Ask
23.0% / 24.0%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Last updated: May 30, 6:01 PM
Resolves
Feb 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
24h Volume
$665.2
Liquidity
$86.1K
Spread
4.3%
Moderate spread7d Change
-
Medium liquidityThin market
Started Nov 6, 2024, 3:00 PMEnds Feb 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Also available on Polymarket
KalshiLast updated: 1 minute ago
Democratic Party
0pt76%
Republican Party
0pt24%
Other
0pt-
Party A
0pt-
Vol
$137.9K
24h Vol
$665.2
Liq
$86.1K
Spread: Moderate spreadLiquidity: Medium liquidity
Check availabilityKYC required2% feeSettles in USD
PolymarketLast updated: 1 minute ago
Democratic Party
▲ +5pt81%
Republican Party
▼ 4pt20%
Other
0pt0%
Party A
0pt0%
Vol
$6.9M
24h Vol
$21.2K
Liq
$503.6K
Spread: Tight spreadLiquidity: High liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
If the Democratic Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2027.
- If the Republican Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mock trade
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Minimum 10 USDT.
Topics
Politics
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