Which party will win the House in 2026?
5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeMarket quality 91 • High quality101pt disagreement
Alerts
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Decision support
Current implied probability
Democratic Party 81%
Market quality
91 / 100
High qualityBid / Ask
80.0% / 81.0%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Last updated: May 30, 12:21 PM
Resolves
Nov 3, 2026, 12:00 AM
24h Volume
$80.1K
Liquidity
$501.3K
Spread
1.3%
Tight spread7d Change
-
High liquidity
Started Jul 11, 2025, 7:53 PMEnds Nov 3, 2026, 12:00 AM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Also available on PredictIt
PolymarketLast updated: 1 minute ago
Democratic Party
0pt81%
Democratic
0pt-
Republican
0pt-
Republican Party
0pt20%
Vol
$6.8M
24h Vol
$80.1K
Liq
$501.3K
Spread: Tight spreadLiquidity: High liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
PredictItLast updated: 1 minute ago
Democratic Party
▼ 81pt-
Democratic
▲ +70pt70%
Republican
▲ +30pt30%
Republican Party
▼ 20pt-
Method
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
Check availabilityKYC requiredSettles in USD
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Also available on Kalshi
PolymarketLast updated: 1 minute ago
Democratic Party
0pt81%
Republican Party
0pt20%
Other
0pt0%
Party A
0pt0%
Vol
$6.8M
24h Vol
$80.1K
Liq
$501.3K
Spread: Tight spreadLiquidity: High liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
KalshiLast updated: 1 minute ago
Democratic Party
▼ 5pt76%
Republican Party
▲ +4pt24%
Other
0pt-
Party A
0pt-
Vol
$137.5K
24h Vol
$338.2
Liq
$86.1K
Spread: Moderate spreadLiquidity: Medium liquidity
Check availabilityKYC required2% feeSettles in USD
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S.
- House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S.
- House of Representatives.
- If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position.
- If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Mock trade
PaperMock trading is available for binary (Yes/No) markets only.
Topics
Politics
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