Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
1.0% (24h)8mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeMarket quality 71 • Medium qualityThin market
Alerts
Follow this market to create alerts.
Decision support
Current implied probability
Republican Party 54%
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium qualityBid / Ask
54.0% / 55.0%
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Last updated: May 30, 5:11 AM
Resolves
Feb 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
24h Volume
$121.4
Liquidity
$26.5K
Spread
1.9%
Tight spread7d Change
-
Medium liquidityThin marketHigh ambiguity
Started Nov 6, 2024, 3:00 PMEnds Feb 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Also available on Polymarket
KalshiLast updated: 7 minutes ago
Republican Party
0pt54%
Democratic Party
0pt45%
Party A
0pt-
Party B
0pt-
Vol
$49.9K
24h Vol
$121.4
Liq
$26.5K
Spread: Tight spreadLiquidity: Medium liquidity
Check availabilityKYC required2% feeSettles in USD
PolymarketLast updated: 7 minutes ago
Republican Party
0pt54%
Democratic Party
▲ +2pt47%
Party A
0pt0%
Party B
0pt0%
Vol
$2.5M
24h Vol
$4.1K
Liq
$420.8K
Spread: Tight spreadLiquidity: High liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
If the Democratic Party has won control of the U.S.
- Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Victory will be determined by the party identification of the President pro tempore of the Senate on February 1, 2027.
- If the Republican Party has won control of the U.S.
Topics
Politics
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