2026 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
1.0% (24h)8mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeMarket quality 60 • Medium qualityThin market102pt disagreement
Alerts
Follow this market to create alerts.
Decision support
Current implied probability
R-House, R-Senate 25%
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium qualityBid / Ask
23.0% / 24.0%
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Last updated: May 30, 7:01 AM
Resolves
Feb 8, 2027, 3:00 PM
24h Volume
$339.5
Liquidity
$42.9K
Spread
4.3%
Moderate spread7d Change
-
Medium liquidityThin marketHigh ambiguity
Started Dec 11, 2025, 3:00 PMEnds Feb 8, 2027, 3:00 PM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Also available on Polymarket
KalshiLast updated: 9 minutes ago
Democrats Sweep
0pt-
D-House, D-Senate
0pt41%
R Senate, D
0pt-
D-House, R-Senate
0pt33%
Vol
$59.8K
24h Vol
$339.5
Liq
$42.9K
Spread: Moderate spreadLiquidity: Medium liquidity
Check availabilityKYC required2% feeSettles in USD
PolymarketLast updated: 1 minute ago
Democrats Sweep
▲ +46pt46%
D-House, D-Senate
▼ 41pt-
R Senate, D
▲ +34pt34%
D-House, R-Senate
▼ 33pt-
Vol
$7.3M
24h Vol
$31.4K
Liq
$802.3K
Spread: Moderate spreadLiquidity: High liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: House Control uses CONTROL, Senate Control uses CONTROL.
- If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Republican, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
Topics
Politics
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