Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

7mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Market quality 60 • Medium qualityThin market

Alerts

Follow this market to create alerts.

Decision support

Current implied probability

Yes 16%

Market quality

60 / 100

Medium quality

Bid / Ask

15.0% / 16.0%

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Last updated: May 30, 4:21 PM

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

24h Volume

$4.7K

Liquidity

$87.5K

Spread

6.7%

Moderate spread

7d Change

+1.0%

Medium liquidityThin market

Started Jan 7, 2026, 4:38 AMEnds Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Yes

-16%

-85%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only the transfer of sovereignty, or the acquisition of primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control qualifies.
Transfer of Sovereignty: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument results in a defined area of Greenland coming under the formal sovereignty of the U.S.
(e.g., incorporated as a U.S. state, territory, possession, or other U.S. political classification), even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
Acquisition of Primary or Exclusive Jurisdiction or Control: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument establishes a defined area in Greenland in which the U.S. has primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over the territory, such that the ordinary legal authority of Denmark and Greenland do not apply,except by U.S. permission.

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Mock trade

Paper

Practice with virtual USDT. Paper trading only.

Stake (USDT)

Minimum 10 USDT.

Topics

GeopoliticsTech

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Back to Prediction Markets

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

7mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Market quality 60 • Medium qualityThin market

Alerts

Follow this market to create alerts.

Decision support

Current implied probability

Yes 16%

Market quality

60 / 100

Medium quality

Bid / Ask

15.0% / 16.0%

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Last updated: May 30, 4:21 PM

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

24h Volume

$4.7K

Liquidity

$87.5K

Spread

6.7%

Moderate spread

7d Change

+1.0%

Medium liquidityThin market

Started Jan 7, 2026, 4:38 AMEnds Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Yes

-16%

-85%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only the transfer of sovereignty, or the acquisition of primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control qualifies.
Transfer of Sovereignty: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument results in a defined area of Greenland coming under the formal sovereignty of the U.S.
(e.g., incorporated as a U.S. state, territory, possession, or other U.S. political classification), even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
Acquisition of Primary or Exclusive Jurisdiction or Control: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument establishes a defined area in Greenland in which the U.S. has primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over the territory, such that the ordinary legal authority of Denmark and Greenland do not apply,except by U.S. permission.

Open on Polymarket