Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
0.5% (24h)7mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeMarket quality 28 • Low qualityThin market
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Decision support
Current implied probability
Yes 14%
Market quality
28 / 100
Low qualityBid / Ask
13.0% / 15.0%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Last updated: May 30, 8:01 AM
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
24h Volume
$3.5K
Liquidity
$16.7K
Spread
15.4%
Wide spread7d Change
+1.0%
Low liquidityThin market
Started Dec 29, 2025, 9:55 PMEnds Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
- A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal.
- Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Topics
PoliticsGeopolitics
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