Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?
30d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeMarket quality 58 • Medium quality
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Decision support
Current implied probability
June 30, 2026 2%
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium qualityBid / Ask
1.2% / 1.8%
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Last updated: May 30, 10:21 AM
Resolves
Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM
24h Volume
$353.5K
Liquidity
$49.3K
Spread
50.0%
Wide spread7d Change
+0.8%
Medium liquidity
Started Dec 15, 2025, 10:56 PMEnds Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8.
- Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
- The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
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Topics
PoliticsGeopolitics
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