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US military draft authorized in 2026?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

3.0% (24h)7mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Market quality 44 • Low qualityThin market

Alerts

Follow this market to create alerts.

Decision support

Current implied probability

Yes 8%

Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
Bid / Ask

7.0% / 8.0%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Last updated: May 30, 7:51 PM

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

24h Volume

$2.7K

Liquidity

$30.3K

Spread

14.3%

Wide spread
7d Change

-

Medium liquidityThin marketNear resolution
Started Mar 13, 2026, 5:27 PMEnds Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Yes
Yes
-0.0%8%
No
No
+0.0%93%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolymarketOpen on Polymarket

Mock trade

Paper

Practice with virtual USDT. Paper trading only.

Minimum 10 USDT.

Topics

PoliticsGeopolitics

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