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CoinRithm

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Bees-x Limited
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13308136
Incorporated In
England and Wales
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Monmouth House, High Street, Watford, England, WD17 1LN

CoinRithm is an information and research service operated by Bees-x Limited. It is not authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) to carry on regulated activities, and nothing on this site is financial advice.

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Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

9.0% (24h)7mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Market quality 28 • Low qualityThin market

Alerts

Follow this market to create alerts.

Decision support

Current implied probability

Before 2027 20%

Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
Bid / Ask

13.0% / 16.0%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Last updated: May 30, 9:22 PM

Resolves

Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM

24h Volume

$14.1

Liquidity

$1.9K

Spread

23.1%

Wide spread
7d Change

-

Low liquidityThin marketHigh ambiguity
Started Jan 3, 2026, 3:00 PMEnds Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Before 2027
Before 2027
+9.0%20%
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 20, 2029
+1.0%50%
Before May 2026
Before May 2026
0.0%0%

Rules

If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

  • If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Paper

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Topics

PoliticsGeopolitics

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