Which G7 leader will leave next?

0.4% (24h)18y

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

Market quality 28 • Low qualityThin market

Alerts

Follow this market to create alerts.

Decision support

Current implied probability

Donald Trump 1%

Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality

Bid / Ask

0.1% / 0.5%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Last updated: May 30, 8:51 AM

Resolves

Jan 1, 2045, 3:00 PM

24h Volume

$14.5

Liquidity

$373.2

Spread

400.0%

Wide spread

7d Change

Low liquidityThin market

Started Oct 23, 2025, 2:00 PMEnds Jan 1, 2045, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Donald Trump

+0.4%1%

Emmanuel Macron

0.0%12%

Keir Starmer

-2.0%78%

Mark Carney

0.0%0%

Giorgia Meloni

0.0%3%

Friedrich Merz

0.0%2%

Sanae Takaichi

0.0%3%

Rules

If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Canada at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.

The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title.
An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient.
The person who held the position at market issuance must be the one who leaves (not a successor).
If a leader dies in office, all markets in the set settle at their last traded prices before the death, with the Exchange determining fair allocation if prices are not logically consistent.
Leaders can leave office through resignation, removal, term limits, electoral defeat, coup, impeachment and removal, or other constitutional processes.

Open on Kalshi

Mock trade

Paper

Mock trading is available for binary (Yes/No) markets only.

Topics

PoliticsGeopolitics

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Back to Prediction Markets

Which G7 leader will leave next?

0.4% (24h)18y

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

Market quality 28 • Low qualityThin market

Alerts

Follow this market to create alerts.

Decision support

Current implied probability

Donald Trump 1%

Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality

Bid / Ask

0.1% / 0.5%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Last updated: May 30, 8:51 AM

Resolves

Jan 1, 2045, 3:00 PM

24h Volume

$14.5

Liquidity

$373.2

Spread

400.0%

Wide spread

7d Change

Low liquidityThin market

Started Oct 23, 2025, 2:00 PMEnds Jan 1, 2045, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Donald Trump

+0.4%1%

Emmanuel Macron

0.0%12%

Keir Starmer

-2.0%78%

Mark Carney

0.0%0%

Giorgia Meloni

0.0%3%

Friedrich Merz

0.0%2%

Sanae Takaichi

0.0%3%

Rules

If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Canada at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.

The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title.
An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient.
The person who held the position at market issuance must be the one who leaves (not a successor).
If a leader dies in office, all markets in the set settle at their last traded prices before the death, with the Exchange determining fair allocation if prices are not logically consistent.
Leaders can leave office through resignation, removal, term limits, electoral defeat, coup, impeachment and removal, or other constitutional processes.

Open on Kalshi