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CoinRithm

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Bees-x Limited
Company Number
13308136
Incorporated In
England and Wales
Registered Office
Monmouth House, High Street, Watford, England, WD17 1LN

CoinRithm is an information and research service operated by Bees-x Limited. It is not authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) to carry on regulated activities, and nothing on this site is financial advice.

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Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Iran ceasefire continues through...?

0.1% (24h)
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Market quality 97 • High qualityNear resolution

Alerts

Follow this market to create alerts.

Decision support

Current implied probability

May 20 100%

Market quality

97 / 100

High quality
Bid / Ask

99.9% / 100.0%

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Last updated: May 30, 5:21 PM

Resolves

-

24h Volume

$4.5M

Liquidity

$6.5M

Spread

0.1%

Tight spread
7d Change

+14.4%

High liquidityNear resolution

Trends

Outcome24hChance
May 20
May 20
+0.1%100%
May 21
May 21
+0.2%100%
May 22
May 22
+0.2%100%
May 24
May 24
+0.1%100%
May 23
May 23
+0.2%100%
May 27
May 27
-91.7%0%
May 31
May 31
-84.0%0%
July 31
July 31
-62.0%0%
December 31
December 31
-57.6%0%
June 7
June 7
-78.0%0%
June 15
June 15
-75.4%0%
June 30
June 30
-72.5%0%
May 25
May 25
-97.4%0%
May 26
May 26
-92.0%0%
May 28
May 28
-89.6%0%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).

  • Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date.
  • Confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify.
  • Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.
  • A qualifying "kinetic military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
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Paper

Mock trading is available for binary (Yes/No) markets only.

Topics

Geopolitics

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