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13308136
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England and Wales
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Monmouth House, High Street, Watford, England, WD17 1LN

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Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

0.1% (24h)7mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Market quality 44 • Low qualityThin market

Alerts

Follow this market to create alerts.

Decision support

Current implied probability

Yes 2%

Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
Bid / Ask

1.7% / 2.7%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Last updated: May 30, 8:02 PM

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

24h Volume

$1.1K

Liquidity

$35.1K

Spread

58.8%

Wide spread
7d Change

+0.6%

Medium liquidityThin marketNear resolution
Started Jan 14, 2026, 7:15 PMEnds Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Yes
Yes
0.0%2%
No
No
0.0%98%
Limitless

Also available on Limitless

PolymarketPolymarket
Last updated: 1 minute ago
No
0pt98%
Yes
0pt2%
Vol

$922.6K

24h Vol

$1.1K

Liq

$35.1K

Spread: Wide spreadLiquidity: Medium liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
LimitlessLimitless
Last updated: 10 minutes ago
No
▼ 0pt98%
Yes
▲ +0pt2%
Vol

$2.1K

24h Vol

$0

Liq

$0

Spread: Spread unknownLiquidity: Low liquidity
Check availabilityNo KYCSettles in USDC
View on LimitlessOpen on Limitless
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S.

  • District Court in the Northern District of California sides with Elon Musk in Elon Musk v.
  • Sam Altman et al by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If the case reaches a determination without settlement, the court will be considered to side with Musk based on the following criteria (in order of priority):
  • If Elon Musk receives a larger net monetary award than Altman et al (after offsetting any awards against the parties), the court will have sided with Musk.
PolymarketOpen on Polymarket

Mock trade

Paper

Practice with virtual USDT. Paper trading only.

Minimum 10 USDT.

Topics

Geopolitics

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