Prediction Source Comparison
Compare matched prediction questions across trading markets and forecasting sources. See where probabilities align, where they diverge, and how methodology differs.
Israeli parliament dissolved by...?
102pt disagreement
July 31
0pt58%
June 30
0pt54%
June 15
0pt20%
+5 more outcomes
$7.7K vol 24h
Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Market-implied probabilityCheck availabilityNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
Before Jun 30, 2026
0pt52%
Before Jun 15, 2026
0pt18%
Before May 20, 2026
0pt1%
+9 more outcomes
$14.2 vol 24h
Tight spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookCheck availabilityKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB
Which bills will become law in 2026?
390pt disagreementDEFIANCE Act
0pt76%
FISA Section 702 reauthorization
0pt60%
Export-control chip security
0pt59%
+11 more outcomes
$1.1K vol 24h
Wide spreadLow liquidity
Market-implied probabilityCheck availabilityNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
Housing for the 21st Century Act
▲ +32pt85%
DEFIANCE Act
▼ -19pt57%
Export-control chip security
▼ -30pt29%
+23 more outcomes
$10.8 vol 24h
Wide spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookCheck availabilityKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB
Trump out as President before 2027?
85pt disagreementNo
0pt89%
Yes
0pt12%
$6.7K vol 24h
Wide spreadHigh liquidity
Market-implied probabilityCheck availabilityNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
Before January 20, 2029
0pt36%
Before 2028
0pt22%
Before 2027
0pt8%
+4 more outcomes
$43.3 vol 24h
Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Exchange order bookCheck availabilityKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB
No
▼ 0pt89%
Yes
▼ 0pt12%
Low liquidity
On-chain prediction market on BaseCheck availabilityNo KYCSettles in USDCAMM / CLOB
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1pt disagreementNo
0pt100%
Yes
0pt0%
$12.7K vol 24h
Wide spreadMedium liquidity
Market-implied probabilityCheck availabilityNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
No
▼ -1pt99%
Yes
▲ +1pt1%
Low liquidity
On-chain prediction market on BaseCheck availabilityNo KYCSettles in USDCAMM / CLOB
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1pt disagreementNo
0pt93%
Yes
0pt7%
$79.5K vol 24h
Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Market-implied probabilityCheck availabilityNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
No
▼ -1pt92%
Yes
▲ +1pt8%
Low liquidity
On-chain prediction market on BaseCheck availabilityNo KYCSettles in USDCAMM / CLOB
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
0pt disagreementNo
0pt96%
Yes
0pt4%
$4.4K vol 24h
Wide spreadLow liquidity
Market-implied probabilityCheck availabilityNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
No
▼ 0pt96%
Yes
▲ +0pt4%
Low liquidity
On-chain prediction market on BaseCheck availabilityNo KYCSettles in USDCAMM / CLOB
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
0pt disagreementNo
0pt93%
Yes
0pt7%
$32.6K vol 24h
Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Market-implied probabilityCheck availabilityNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
No
▲ +0pt93%
Yes
▼ 0pt7%
Low liquidity
On-chain prediction market on BaseCheck availabilityNo KYCSettles in USDCAMM / CLOB
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
0pt disagreementNo
0pt98%
Yes
0pt2%
$4K vol 24h
Wide spreadMedium liquidity
Market-implied probabilityCheck availabilityNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
No
0pt98%
Yes
▲ +0pt2%
Low liquidity
On-chain prediction market on BaseCheck availabilityNo KYCSettles in USDCAMM / CLOB
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
177pt disagreement$100M
0pt57%
$100M
0pt53%
$300M
0pt53%
+5 more outcomes
$3K vol 24h
Wide spreadHigh liquidity
Market-implied probabilityCheck availabilityNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
No
0pt54%
Yes
0pt46%
+6 more outcomes
Low liquidity
On-chain prediction market on BaseCheck availabilityNo KYCSettles in USDCAMM / CLOB
$5,000,000,000+
0pt14%
$2,000,000,000+
0pt14%
$8,000,000,000+
0pt9%
+10 more outcomes
$0.7 vol 24h
Wide spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookCheck availabilityKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
143pt disagreement$100M
0pt39%
$300M
0pt36%
$500M
0pt36%
+5 more outcomes
$7.9K vol 24h
Wide spreadMedium liquidity
Market-implied probabilityCheck availabilityNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
No
0pt89%
Yes
0pt12%
+7 more outcomes
Low liquidity
On-chain prediction market on BaseCheck availabilityNo KYCSettles in USDCAMM / CLOB
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